The Presidential Race
Joseph R. Biden Jr. has pulled ahead of President Trump in Georgia, a state with 16 electoral votes where a win would bring him to 269, or within one electoral vote of the presidency. If Mr. Biden were to win Georgia and then win Nevada or Arizona — both states in which he is leading — or Pennsylvania, where the continued counting of ballots is methodically erasing Mr. Trump’s advantage, he would become the president-elect.
Flipping Georgia, a state last won by a Democrat in 1992, and where Mr. Trump won by more than 200,000 votes four years ago, would represent a significant political shift this year, but the state has shown signs of trending blue: When Mr. Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in 2016 he did so by only five percentage points, a far slimmer margin than Republicans had enjoyed in previous presidential elections.
The candidates had been locked in a virtual dead heat for much of Thursday, with each controlling about 49.4 percent of the vote but Mr. Trump maintaining a slight lead. As absentee ballots were counted early Friday particularly in Clayton County, Mr. Biden pulled ahead with 917 more votes.
Mr. Biden’s late surge in this year’s count, thanks to his dominance in Atlanta, Savannah and the increasingly Democratic-friendly suburbs around both, transformed what had seemed to be a safe Trump state in early tabulations on Tuesday into one of the closest contests in the nation.
While Mr. Biden was powered by high turnout among Black voters in Atlanta, he also flipped some suburban white voters in the moderate suburban counties that ring the city.
At a drive-in rally in Atlanta last week, Mr. Biden said, “We win Georgia, we win everything.”
With votes in a handful of states still being tallied early on Friday, Joseph R. Biden Jr. was 17 electoral votes shy of reaching the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the election, while President Trump was 56 electoral votes short.
Mr. Biden had more paths to victory open to him: Twenty-seven combinations of the remaining states would give the presidency, while only four different combinations would re-elect Mr. Trump and one path would result in a tie.
Here is the state of play in the race in the remaining battleground states.
GEORGIA
Electoral votes: 16
Biden narrowly leads Trump, 49.4 percent to 49.4 percent, with more than 98 percent of the estimated vote in.
Gap: 917 votes.
PENNSYLVANIA
Electoral votes: 20
Trump leads Biden, 49.5 percent to 49.2 percent, with about 95 percent of the estimated vote in.
Gap: 18,229 votes.
NEVADA
Electoral votes: 6
Biden leads Trump, 49.4 percent to 48.5 percent, with 89 percent of the estimated vote in.
Gap: About 11,000 votes.
Keep in mind: Nevada has about 190,000 ballots still to be counted, the secretary of state said on Thursday afternoon. And 90 percent of them are from Clark County, where Mr. Biden currently leads by eight percentage points. All of the Election Day vote has been counted, leaving only Democratic-leaning late mail and provisional ballots to be tabulated.
ARIZONA
Electoral votes: 11
Biden leads Trump, 50.1 percent to 48.5 percent, with 88 percent of the estimated vote in.
Gap: About 47,000 votes.
NORTH CAROLINA
Electoral votes: 15
Trump leads Biden, 50 percent to 48.6 percent, with 95 percent of the estimated vote in.
Gap: About 77,000 votes.
Keep in mind: With most votes now tabulated, Mr. Biden would need to win about two-thirds of the remainder to pull ahead. Mail ballots postmarked by Election Day will be accepted until Nov. 12.
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Pennsylvania Official Says Integrity of State’s Voting Processes Is ‘Unparalleled’
At a news conference on Thursday, Kathy Boockvar, Pennsylvania’s secretary of state, said that while a large percentage of votes in the state had been counted, the results were not yet certain.
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Pennsylvanians have more choices on how they’ve been able to vote this year than they’ve ever had in the history of the commonwealth. And no matter how they voted, what’s critical here is that we have very strong processes in place. The strength of the integrity of this vote is really unparalleled. Same when you vote in person, right: You have to be registered, you go in, you sign in the poll book — all these things are tracked. Our voting systems and our databases make sure that no voter can cast more than one vote. So, you know, I can just say, really, no matter how you chose to vote this year — and so many Pennsylvanians have, and it looks like it’s really going to be great turnout when we finalize the numbers — that every method is incredibly safe and secure. I think, you know, a huge, huge majority of the in-person votes have been counted. We’re in a very good place with the mail-in and absentee ballots, but not quite there yet. But then there’s still going to be provisional ballots, the military and overseas ballots and so forth. So the closer the race is, the longer it takes. But I think what I’ve said all along is that the overwhelming majority of ballots will be counted by Friday. I still think that we’re ahead of schedule on — we actually already have counted the overwhelming majority of ballots, but because it’s a close race, it’s not quite clear yet who the winner is.
PHILADELPHIA — With the presidential race potentially hinging on the outcome in Pennsylvania, the state’s top elections official said late Thursday that the counties were “still counting” and did not give a direct answer as to how many ballots were still outstanding, estimating that it was “several hundred thousand.” She did not offer any timetable as to when counting in the state would be complete.
“There’s still some to count,” said Kathy Boockvar, Pennsylvania’s secretary of state. “So they are working incredibly hard. They are going to keep counting into the evening, and stay tuned.”
Earlier on Thursday, Ms. Boockvar had indicated that she expected an overwhelming majority of the remaining votes to be tallied by Thursday and that a state winner “definitely could” be announced by the end of the day.
But in her evening news conference, Ms. Boockvar indicated it would take longer, as the official total on the state website indicated there were roughly 326,000 mail ballots still to be counted.
“What I’ve said all along is that the overwhelming majority of ballots will be counted by Friday,” Ms. Boockvar said. “I still think that we’re ahead of schedule and we actually already have counted the overwhelming majority of ballots, but because it’s a close race, it’s not quite clear yet who the winner is.”
President Trump’s lead in the state over Joseph R. Biden Jr. has dwindled since Wednesday from more than 10 percentage points to less than one, and less than 25,000 votes now separate the candidates. If Mr. Biden wins the state, he wins the presidency.
On CNN, Ms. Boockvar said that most of the outstanding ballots were from denser population centers, including Philadelphia and its suburban counties, and Allegheny County, which is home to Pittsburgh.
Ms. Boockvar said that though Philadelphia temporarily paused its counting on Thursday because of some legal filings, it was quickly resumed.
The Trump campaign has filed multiple lawsuits in Pennsylvania, including one seeking to allow election observers closer access to election workers in Philadelphia, which a judge granted on Thursday morning. The Trump campaign also filed a motion to intervene in a case before the U.S. Supreme Court, challenging a rule in the state that allows ballots that are postmarked by Election Day but arrive up to three days later to still be counted.
But Ms. Boockvar said that election officials were not seeing a large influx of late-arriving ballots, and did not anticipate they would have an impact on the final tally.
“Unless it is super close,” she said, “I don’t see them making this or breaking this one way or another. But in the meantime, we are going to be counting every ballot.”
WILMINGTON, Del. — Joseph R. Biden Jr. on Thursday urged Americans to be patient as votes were counted and said he and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris, had “no doubt” that they would ultimately prevail.
“It is the will of the voters, no one, not anything else, that chooses the president of the United States of America,” he said. “So, each ballot must be counted, and that’s what we’re going to see going through now. And that’s how it should be.”
In brief remarks to reporters in Wilmington, Del., Mr. Biden continued: “Democracy is sometimes messy. It sometimes requires a little patience as well. But that patience has been rewarded now for more than 240 years with a system of governance that’s been the envy of the world.”
Mr. Biden spoke after he and Ms. Harris received briefings on the coronavirus pandemic and the economy at a theater in Wilmington. Earlier in the day, Mr. Biden’s campaign manager, Jennifer O’Malley Dillon, expressed confidence that Mr. Biden would win the election, and during his remarks, Mr. Biden also predicted a victory.
“We have no doubt that when the count is finished, Senator Harris and I will be declared the winners,” he said. “So, I ask everyone to stay calm — all the people to stay calm. The process is working. The count is being completed, and we’ll know very soon.”
President Trump broke a two-day silence with reporters to deliver a brief statement filled with lies about the election process as workers in a handful of states continue to tabulate vote tallies in the presidential race.
The president painted the election results so far as part of a broad conspiracy to deprive him of winning a second term by Democrats, election officials in various cities and the media.
“If you count the legal votes, I easily win,” Mr. Trump said shortly after he took the podium in the White House briefing room, a false statement that cast aspersion on the rest of the election. He offered no evidence.
He then listed a series of conspiracy theories about why ballots arrived late in places. And at the same time that he insisted Democrats were figuring out how many mail-in ballots they need in order to counteract his performance in various states, the president listed off a series of Republican wins on Tuesday. He appeared not to see the cognitive dissonance in saying that other Republicans won while he lost as he outlined a plot about others harming him, and left the room without taking reporters’ questions.
The three big broadcast networks — ABC, CBS and NBC — all cut away from President Trump’s appearance as the president’s false claims about the integrity of the election mounted.
Mr. Trump’s speech was timed to air during each of the network’s evening newscasts, which draw the biggest collective audience in TV news. But network anchors broke in after a few minutes to correct some of Mr. Trump’s false claims.
“We have to cut away here because the president has made a number of false allegations,” Lester Holt said on “NBC Nightly News.” On ABC, the anchor David Muir broke in and told viewers, “There’s a lot to unpack here and fact-check.”
Although CNN and Fox News continued carrying Mr. Trump’s remarks live, the decision by the other networks to break away deprived Mr. Trump of a significantly larger audience for his unfiltered — and un-fact-checked — views of the election.
MSNBC declined to air his remarks live at all. On Fox News, the White House correspondent John Roberts told viewers that “we haven’t seen any evidence” to back up Mr. Trump’s claims of electoral fraud. The anchor Bret Baier concurred, adding, “We have not seen the evidence yet, John.”
As the presidential race inches agonizingly toward a conclusion, it might be easy to miss the fact that the results are not actually very close.
With many ballots still outstanding in heavily Democratic cities, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. was leading President Trump by more than four million votes nationwide as of Thursday evening. His lead will continue to expand, perhaps substantially, as officials finish counting.
This means more Americans have voted for a Democrat for president than for a Republican in each of the past four elections, and seven of the past eight, the exception being 2004, when President George W. Bush beat John Kerry by about three million votes. But, depending on the outcome this year, only four or five times in those eight elections have they actually put one in the White House.
It looks likely that Mr. Biden will eke out an Electoral College win. But the narrowness of the result, in contrast to the fairly decisive preference of the American public, has intensified some Americans’ anger at a system in which a minority of people can often claim a majority of power.
“We look at a map of so-called red and blue states and treat that map as land and not people,” said Carol Anderson, a professor of African-American studies at Emory University who researches voter suppression. “I’ve been thinking about how hard folks have to work to be able to vote, what it takes to overcome all of this that voter suppression has put in place, and that someone could be ahead by three million votes — which is bigger than most cities and probably some states — and still we have what almost amounts to a nail-biter.”
Mr. Biden’s current vote margin is, in fact, larger than the populations of more than 20 states, and more than the population of Los Angeles.
A similar disparity exists in the Senate, where the current Democratic minority was elected with more votes than the Republican majority and where by 2040, based on population projections, about 70 percent of Americans will be represented by 30 percent of senators.
“It’s not that the states that are represented by the 30 percent are all red, but what we do know is that the states that are going to have 70 senators are in no way representative of the diversity in the country,” said Norman Ornstein, a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. “The more this happens, the more you get the sense that voters don’t have a say in the choice of their leaders. And you cannot have a democracy over a period of time that survives if a majority of people believe that their franchise is meaningless.”
PHOENIX — Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. has maintained a steady but slightly narrowing lead in Arizona vote tallies after Election Day, with Latino voters lining up behind the former vice president in a state that President Trump won by three and a half percentage points in 2016.
As of early Friday morning, Mr. Biden led Mr. Trump in Arizona by about 46,000 votes.
Even Mr. Biden’s narrow edge underscored a profound political shift in Arizona, a longtime Republican bastion that has lurched left in recent years, fueled by rapidly evolving demographics and a growing contingent of young Latino voters who favor liberal policies.
The count was delayed in the early hours of Thursday, as dozens of Trump supporters demonstrated outside the Maricopa County election office where the votes were being counted.
In one of the brightest spots for Democrats so far, the former astronaut Mark Kelly defeated the state’s Republican senator, Martha McSally, in a special election, making Mr. Kelly and Kyrsten Sinema the first pair of Democrats to represent Arizona in the Senate since the 1950s.
Hours after President Trump’s son took to Twitter to complain that none of the Republicans with aspirations to run for president in 2024 were publicly siding with his father, Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina appeared on Fox News to defend Mr. Trump’s baseless claims of widespread voter fraud.
Mr. Graham, who is one of the president’s most loyal allies on Capitol Hill, did not, however, offer any evidence to support those spurious claims. While he objected to the ongoing count of votes in Pennsylvania, he said he supported the process in Arizona.
“I trust Arizona, I don’t trust Philadelphia,” he said.
Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas followed his Republican colleague on the network and accused Democrats of trying to steal the election. He also offered no evidence to back his assertion.
Tommy Tuberville, a senator-elect from Alabama and a former Auburn University football coach, parroted the president on Twitter.
“The election results are out of control,” Mr. Tuberville wrote. “It’s like the whistle has blown, the game is over, and the players have gone home, but the referees are suddenly adding touchdowns to the other team’s side of the scoreboard.”
At a news conference on Thursday night in Atlanta with Donald Trump Jr., in which Republican supporters chanted “Stop the Steal,” Representative Doug Collins, a Georgia congressman who ran a failed bid for Senate this year, suggested without evidence that something was awry in the election.
“Transparency only seems to be good when the Democrats like the transparency, and the media are willing to go along with it,” he said.
Many prominent Republican lawmakers chose to remain silent, refusing to cross Mr. Trump over the results of an election that was slipping away from the incumbent.
Representative Kevin McCarthy of California, the Republican leader, at first sidestepped questions on Wednesday about whether he agreed with Mr. Trump that election officials should halt their tabulations.
But by Thursday evening, he had grown more vocal, writing in a tweet: “Republicans will not be silenced. We demand transparency. We demand accuracy. And we demand that the legal votes be protected.”
Still, there were some in his party that offered a rebuke of Mr. Trump’s efforts to sow doubt in the democratic process.
Gov. Larry Hogan of Maryland issued one of the strongest condemnations of the president by a Republican lawmaker.
“There is no defense for the President’s comments tonight undermining our Democratic process,” Mr. Hogan wrote on Twitter. “America is counting the votes, and we must respect the results as we always have before. No election or person is more important than our Democracy.”
Tom Ridge, the former Pennsylvania governor and secretary of homeland security for President George W. Bush, assailed Mr. Trump over his rhetoric.
“With his remarks from the White House tonight, the President disrespected every single American who figured out a way to safely vote amid a pandemic that has taken 235,000 lives,” Mr. Ridge wrote on Twitter. “Not to mention those who are dutifully counting that vote. Absolutely shameful. Yet so predictable.”
Mr. Ridge was among a group of Republicans who had endorsed the Democratic candidate, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.
Gov. Doug Ducey of Arizona, a state that Fox News called for Mr. Biden on election night, drawing the president’s ire, urged his constituents to remain patient on Thursday night as the margin there remained tight.
“I encourage media outlets, cable news and national pundits to do the same, and to avoid the temptation to declare a winner until our Arizona election officials have finished their jobs,” he said. “All of this underlines the importance of not jumping to conclusions in the state of Arizona until there is a final outcome in all counties.”
Democrats wept, cursed and traded blame on Thursday during an extraordinary party confab to dissect the disappointing results of this week’s elections, agreeing on little except that they needed a “deep dive” into how they had ended up with painful losses that weakened their House majority instead of the big gains they had boldly predicted.
In a three-hour caucus meeting held by telephone that was their first group conversation since Election Day, Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Representative Cheri Bustos of Illinois, who led the party’s campaign arm, defended their efforts. Democrats expressed frustration over the loss of eight of their members — and a net loss of six seats, with 36 races still undecided — that had left them with a slimmer margin of control.
Party leaders noted that Democrats appeared on track to hold the House, thanks to hard-fought victories by incumbents in competitive districts, and that former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. appeared headed toward a victory, according to seven people on the call who requested anonymity to divulge a conversation that was intended to be private.
“We did not win every battle, but we did win the war,” Ms. Pelosi said.
Democrats had been ebullient only days before about their chances. On Election Day, Ms. Pelosi and Ms. Bustos had crowed about their likelihood of success, predicting that the party could pick up five, 10 or even 20 seats while worrying about “fewer than a handful of incumbents.”
But by Thursday, one of the incumbents they had not been worried about, Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who was defeated Tuesday night as President Trump won a resounding victory in her Miami-area district, broke into tears as she spoke out to her soon-to-be former colleagues about internal divides in the party.
“We have a divided America,” Ms. Mucarsel-Powell said during the call. “Continue to fight for kids or what you believe in, but if you have a problem, pick up the phone — don’t tweet it out.”
Representative Abigail Spanberger, who narrowly escaped defeat on Wednesday in a conservative-leaning district in Virginia that Democrats had also believed was secure, chastised her progressive colleagues for embracing the “defund the police” movement and for not pushing back forcefully against accusations of socialism. If Democrats did not acknowledge the election results as a “failure” and change strategies, she said using an expletive for emphasis, they would get “crushed” in future elections.
To that, Ms. Pelosi objected.
“I disagree, Abigail, that it was a failure,” she said. “We won the House.”
President Trump, whose campaign has filed lawsuits in several states questioning the integrity of the vote count and seeking to slow down the process, suffered a pair of legal setbacks Thursday when judges in Georgia and Michigan ruled against his campaign.
But the campaign notched a minor victory in Pennsylvania when a state appellate court acceded to its request to force Philadelphia election officials to grant its election observers better access to areas where workers are counting ballots.
Here was how the president’s re-election campaign was faring in the courts:
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In Georgia, where Mr. Trump’s lead over Joseph R. Biden Jr. is shrinking, a superior court judge dismissed a lawsuit filed by the Trump campaign and the state Republican Party alleging that at least 53 ballots were potentially accepted after a 7 p.m. Election Day deadline by officials in Chatham County, home to Democratic-leaning Savannah. The judge, James F. Bass Jr., wrote that there was “no evidence” that the ballots were received late. Georgia’s Republican Party has said it plans to bring up to a dozen lawsuits in the state.
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In Michigan, where news organizations projected Mr. Biden the winner on Wednesday, a judge denied a request by the Trump campaign to halt the counting of absentee ballots so that Republican challengers could be given what it called “meaningful access” to the absentee counting boards. Challengers were allowed to observe the process throughout the state, but in some locations their numbers were limited to follow social-distancing guidelines. A Court of Claims judge, Cynthia Stephens, noted that the lawsuit had been filed Wednesday afternoon, long after the count had begun, adding that “the essence of the count is completed.”
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In Pennsylvania, where Mr. Biden was eroding Mr. Trump’s early lead as more votes were counted, a judge handed the Trump campaign a victory, forcing Philadelphia elections officials to allow Republican observers to watch the count from six feet away. They had previously been kept roughly 20 feet away from workers at the main Philadelphia canvassing area. “We don’t care if your observers are 18 feet away or 15 feet away or 6 feet away,” a Biden spokesman, Bill Russo, wrote on Twitter. “As long as election officials can do their job.” Still, Democrats appealed the decision, indicating that they believed the Trump campaign was trying to use closer access to slow the count in Philadelphia — a Democratic stronghold pivotal to Mr. Biden bid to capture the state, and with it the presidency — with protests in the counting room and more lawsuits. Late Thursday, a federal judge denied the Trump campaign’s request for a stop in vote counting in Philadelphia over its allegation that its observers were not getting sufficient access to the process; instead, he ordered city elections officials to expand the number of people each side could have in the room.
Joseph R. Biden Jr. widened his slender lead over President Trump in Nevada on Thursday from about 8,000 votes to about 11,000 votes as another tranche of ballots were counted, according to election officials. Mr. Biden now leads Mr. Trump by about one percentage point.
Nevada has six electoral votes and its entire Election Day vote has been counted; the late mail and provisional ballots that remain lean Democratic. About 11 percent of the state’s votes have yet to be tabulated.
But the final results might not be made public until Saturday or Sunday, said Joe Gloria, elections registrar in Clark County, home to Las Vegas, during a news conference at his headquarters. His staff will begin to tabulate 63,262 drop-off, mail-in and provisional ballots on Friday, and likely will not release the results for a day or two, Mr. Gloria told reporters.
“Our goal is not to act fast,” but to accurately count the votes, he said to audible groaning in the room.
Mr. Gloria said he had beefed up security amid threats to his staff, adding, “We will not allow anyone to stop us from doing what our duty is.”
Statewide, Nevada has about 190,000 ballots still to be counted, the secretary of state said in a statement on Thursday afternoon. Ninety percent of them are from Clark County, where Mr. Biden currently leads by eight percentage points.
A key question is whether Mr. Trump can close Mr. Biden’s current lead in Clark County, which includes Las Vegas and most of Nevada’s population. In 2016, Hillary Clinton carried that county by 10.7 percentage points.
The Trump campaign has already identified Nevada, which allows any losing candidate to request a recount, as one of the battleground states where it hopes to use the courts and procedural maneuvers to stave off defeat in the Electoral College. Less than 24 hours before Election Day, a Nevada judge rejected a lawsuit filed by Republicans who had tried to stop early vote counting in Clark County.
Nevada’s attorney general, Aaron Ford, a Democrat, told CNN that the state was prepared to rebuff the Trump campaign’s offensive.
“We think it’s pretty impenetrable when it comes to legal challenge against us,” Mr. Ford said.
Since Mrs. Clinton beat Mr. Trump in Nevada by 2.4 percentage points in 2016, the state has turned a deeper shade of blue, with Democrats controlling the governor’s office and legislature, both Senate seats and all but one House seat. It was not widely expected to be a battleground state this year.
But while recent polls consistently showed Mr. Biden ahead of Mr. Trump in Nevada, Democrats worried that the pandemic would make it difficult to create a robust election turnout operation. The state has reported more than 104,000 coronavirus cases.
The U.S. Postal Service processed tens of thousands of ballots the day after Election Day, according to data filed in federal court on Thursday. Depending on each state’s election rules, some of those ballots would be counted and others would be disqualified.
Some states have a grace period for domestic, nonmilitary mail-in ballots to reach election officials, as long as they are postmarked by Election Day. In other states, including the battleground states of Georgia and Arizona, those ballots must reach election offices by Election Day.
In Atlanta, where the presidential race remains too close to call, the Postal Service processed about 600 ballots on Wednesday, although at least some of those could have been scanned twice.
If those ballots were sent domestically by civilians, they would be disqualified based on Georgia election rules. Nearly 23 percent of ballots in Atlanta did not meet the agency’s service standard, which is delivery within one to three days.
In Arizona, where the cutoff for receiving mail-in ballots is Election Day, the Postal Service processed 864 ballots the day after Election Day, according to data filed in federal court; however, that figure could also could include ballots that were double scanned. Those ballots would also be disqualified there, based on the state’s election rules.
Voting rights advocates suing the Postal Service have shifted their attention to those states that are still counting mail-in ballots, including North Carolina and Pennsylvania.
On Wednesday, Judge Emmet G. Sullivan of the District of Columbia ordered the Postal Service to conduct additional sweeps of its Texas facilities, before the state ceased counting some mail-in ballots. Those sweeps only turned up 815 ballots.
The following day, he ordered the Postal Service to sweep facilities for ballots in states with extended ballot receipt deadlines.
Daily reporting from the Postal Service in federal court has underscored the “extraordinary measures” that the agency promised to employ to ensure the timely delivery of ballots. The Postal Service sent more than 10,000 ballots to election offices by Express Mail between Oct. 30 and Wednesday.
November 06, 2020 at 04:58PM
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Biden Takes the Lead in Georgia and Edges Closer to Victory - The New York Times
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